Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.035614 0.038780 0.041966 0.045404 0.049006 0.052661 0.056644
2025-11-30 0.031202 0.035945 0.040871 0.046343 0.052230 0.058352 0.065179
2025-12-07 0.027605 0.033486 0.039767 0.046921 0.054792 0.063141 0.072618
2025-12-14 0.024433 0.031129 0.038470 0.047021 0.056614 0.066962 0.078885
2025-12-21 0.022473 0.029903 0.038238 0.048131 0.059410 0.071741 0.086120
2025-12-28 0.019732 0.027532 0.036500 0.047355 0.059936 0.073877 0.090322
2026-01-04 0.017923 0.026107 0.035724 0.047564 0.061478 0.077071 0.095637
2026-01-11 0.016599 0.025156 0.035413 0.048233 0.063481 0.080734 0.101440
2026-01-18 0.015398 0.024261 0.035090 0.048819 0.065332 0.084180 0.106965
2026-01-25 0.013279 0.022038 0.033012 0.047181 0.064462 0.084402 0.108721
2026-02-01 0.011892 0.020674 0.031924 0.046677 0.064882 0.086078 0.112113
2026-02-08 0.010748 0.019556 0.031083 0.046421 0.065554 0.088013 0.115778
2026-02-15 0.010292 0.019390 0.031487 0.047757 0.068214 0.092367 0.122364
2026-02-22 0.009762 0.019081 0.031681 0.048816 0.070532 0.096322 0.128500
2026-03-01 0.009122 0.018565 0.031567 0.049456 0.072319 0.099636 0.133882
2026-03-08 0.008355 0.017803 0.031079 0.049580 0.073439 0.102131 0.138282
2026-03-15 0.007993 0.017635 0.031388 0.050735 0.075848 0.106189 0.144554
2026-03-22 0.007044 0.016472 0.030255 0.049939 0.075754 0.107172 0.147120
2026-03-29 0.006480 0.015882 0.029901 0.050157 0.076932 0.109699 0.151536
2026-04-05 0.006095 0.015559 0.029910 0.050849 0.078707 0.112954 0.156829
2026-04-12 0.005714 0.015214 0.029866 0.051454 0.080361 0.116056 0.161937
2026-04-19 0.004780 0.013809 0.028190 0.049764 0.078990 0.115367 0.162402
2026-04-26 0.004214 0.013010 0.027382 0.049243 0.079122 0.116534 0.165120